![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
I can't decide...
Sep. 15th, 2010 09:18 am...Which of the many reasons I find amusement from Christine O'Donnell's win yesterday to be the most fun.
I do have a moderate degree of terror about the Republican take over of everything that could happen in November - on the other hand, this is more evidence that the republican party is currently 3 really BADLY glued together factions - and there's nothing like an impotent spell in government to make factions split.
O'Donnell now probably can't win Delaware - just as it's looking unlikely that Sharon Angle will beat Reid in Nevada. This makes a senate takeover unlikely. With her win factored in, 538.com (in Nate Silver we trust (except for British elections) all others must bring data...) Nate has the democrats at 75% to hold the senate.
That said, there's a childish and dare I say, silly, part of me that would like to watch McConnell and Boehmer trying to manage people like O'Donnell, Paul, Angle, Quayle et al... these yahoos actually believe they're going to Washington to change something! It will be fantastic to watch them get absolutely nowhere with that one.
There's still a lot of time between now and November. The PR around the Healthcare Bill will start to ramp up for the Pro message. There will probably be some effect as civil engineer stimulus spending _starts_ to kick in. I suspect that the Republicans will be trying, as Karl Rove did yesterday, to throw some of the nuttier Tea Party elements under any convenient buses they can find rather than have to have them on the inside pissing in come November.
It's also yet more evidence that there's a moderate Republican Party, currently hidden deep in shadow, a right wing Christian Republican Party which is trying to pretend to be mainstream, and then there's the batshit, completely doolally, Tea Party movement which is impressive in that it actually seems to believe it's own hype.
I can't imagine that Team Obama are doing anything other than looking at 2012 at this stage and rubbing their hands. The last thing they need is some credible popularist moderate Republicans emerging.
I do have a moderate degree of terror about the Republican take over of everything that could happen in November - on the other hand, this is more evidence that the republican party is currently 3 really BADLY glued together factions - and there's nothing like an impotent spell in government to make factions split.
O'Donnell now probably can't win Delaware - just as it's looking unlikely that Sharon Angle will beat Reid in Nevada. This makes a senate takeover unlikely. With her win factored in, 538.com (in Nate Silver we trust (except for British elections) all others must bring data...) Nate has the democrats at 75% to hold the senate.
That said, there's a childish and dare I say, silly, part of me that would like to watch McConnell and Boehmer trying to manage people like O'Donnell, Paul, Angle, Quayle et al... these yahoos actually believe they're going to Washington to change something! It will be fantastic to watch them get absolutely nowhere with that one.
There's still a lot of time between now and November. The PR around the Healthcare Bill will start to ramp up for the Pro message. There will probably be some effect as civil engineer stimulus spending _starts_ to kick in. I suspect that the Republicans will be trying, as Karl Rove did yesterday, to throw some of the nuttier Tea Party elements under any convenient buses they can find rather than have to have them on the inside pissing in come November.
It's also yet more evidence that there's a moderate Republican Party, currently hidden deep in shadow, a right wing Christian Republican Party which is trying to pretend to be mainstream, and then there's the batshit, completely doolally, Tea Party movement which is impressive in that it actually seems to believe it's own hype.
I can't imagine that Team Obama are doing anything other than looking at 2012 at this stage and rubbing their hands. The last thing they need is some credible popularist moderate Republicans emerging.
