Not Only Money
Jun. 14th, 2007 12:28 pm
SPACE.com -- Europe Unveils Space Plane for Tourist Market
We've been discussing this a bit, naturally which led Paul to consider the money aspect of building things in space. However, money is just a part of the problem.
I probably don't have to mention that Space is not the Earth. Even if you can get your cost to LEO down to the cents or dollars range (which to a certain extent probably isn't necessarily technically impossible, just implausible) you've a bunch of other problems that crop up.
Firstly, its not a pleasant environment out there. You've temperature cycles that lead to some interesting stress cycles on your materials. You've micro-meteor and other debris hits to consider. You've no local resources to easily exploit, at least in LEO you don't - planetary and moon surfaces bring up some other considerations too.
Even if you can lift things cheaply, you're going to be constrained on Mass and Volume mostly because you have to figure out how to get the stuff intact through the soup we call an atmosphere, and then do something practical with it there. There will be some practical limitations on those items and how frequently you launch. So you're going to have a marshalling and logistical headache in a poor environment where everything is pretty much out to kill you.
Then, unlike the Earth, the second hand property market is going to be limited. Simply put, structures we're likely to be building in the near future are going to have a shelf life. It's not a case of putting a new roof on your log cabin and its good enough. It has to protect you from radiation, from heat and cold, keep the air inside and circulating and a bunch of other stuff. I've done some process pipe design and try as I might coming up with easy to maintain stuff that can be repaired and replaced in confined modules in LEO doesn't seem easy to me in the slightest.
Even then, even if you can build your orbital "towns" out of small(ish) cheap to lift modules, when you get "out there" there are other problems. We just don't know what the health problems associated with long term exposure to lunar soil are. We can guess, and it ain't pretty. Same thing for Mars.
There are so many many challenges to living and developing space that I just don't see it happening without a government. I just don't.